Cnotes 2018 Canadian Football League Picks - News - Trends !

[Cnotes53]

WEEK 16

Friday, September 28, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
9:00 PM Toronto Argonauts Calgary Stampeders

Saturday, September 29, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
4:00 PM British Columbia Lions Hamilton Tiger Cats
7:00 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Edmonton Eskimos

Sunday, September 30, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Saskatchewan Roughriders Montreal Alouettes


*****************************



Sept. Picks................and Best Bets


09/22/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
09/21/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/03/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
09/02/2018 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00


TOTALS............3-6-1........33.33%......-18.00


DATE.....................ATS.................UNITS ...................O/U..................UNITS..............TOTAL

09/22/2018..........3 - 0.................+15.00................1 - 2...................-6.00...............+9.00
09/21/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................1 - 0..................+5.00...............-0.50
09/07/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
09/03/2018..........0 - 2.................-11.00.................1 - 1...................-0.50...............-11.50
09/02/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................0 - 0..................+0.00..............+5.00


TOTALS................4 - 4..................-2.00..................3 - 4...................-7.00................-9.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Week 15 - Saturday September 22, 2018

EDMONTON ESKIMOS @ OTTAWA REDBLACKS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
653 EDM -2.5 0 7 8 0 15 Under: 43
654 OTT ? 55 3 9 6 10 28 Cover: 15.5
Line Movements

SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS @ TORONTO ARGONAUTS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
655 SAS ? -3 10 14 3 3 30 Over: 59
656 TOR 51 3 11 13 2 29 Cover: 2
Line Movements

HAMILTON TIGER CATS @ BRITISH COLUMBIA LIONS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 5 T ATS
657 HAM -2.5 0 14 3 12 3 32 Over: 67
658 BC ? 50 3 0 8 18 6 35 Cover: 5.5
Line Movements

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday?s six-pack

Six interesting spreads in college football this week:

? UCLA @ Colorado (-10.5)? Chip Kelly?s Bruins are already 0-3.

? Syracuse @ Clemson (-24)? Tigers were upset in central NY last season.

? Ohio State (-3.5) @ Penn State? Big game in Happy Valley.

? Purdue (-3.5) @ Nebraska? Cornhuskers are 0-3 for first time since 1945.

? Florida @ Mississippi State (-7)- -Dan Mullen goes back to Starkville

? Oregon (-3) @ Cal? Good late night game on FS1.

Quote of the Day
?Our reality is that he (Jimmy Butler) has requested a trade, so we?ll honor that. But we?re not just going to make any deal. ? Our conversations will remain private. He requested a trade and we?re going to honor his request. But we?re not going to do anything that?s bad for the Timberwolves. We?re going to do what?s good for the Timberwolves. We have to prioritize that. That?s what our job is.?
Minnesota coach Tom Thibodeau

Wednesday?s quiz
Who was Vice President when Jimmy Carter was President?

Tuesday?s quiz
Buccaneers beat the Oakland Raiders 48-21 when they won their only Super Bowl title, in January 2003

Monday?s quiz
Other than Josh Rosen, Troy Aikman was the only other UCLA quarterback taken in the top 10 picks of an NFL Draft.

**********************

Wednesday?s List of 13: NFL stats, and other stuff??.

13) Tampa Bay Bucs play in Chicago Sunday, then have their bye week; Ryan Fitzpatrick just became the first QB EVER to throw for 400+ yards three games in a row. Problem is, he isn?t the Bucs? starting QB; he is the backup who started while Jameis Winston was suspended for off-field issues.

If Winston is on the Tampa Bay roster next March 13, the Bucs will owe him $20.9M; thats going to be a very interesting decision. Fitzpatrick will be 36 in late November, so he isn?t the QB of the future in the Big Sombrero. Question is: if not Winston, then who?

12) Arizona Cardinals are switching to rookie Josh Rosen as their starting QB for their home game with Seattle Sunday; Arizona put Rosen in the game with about 4:15 left Sunday and the Cardinals down 16-14? very difficult spot to be put in, for his NFL debut.

In their first three games, Arizona?s offense:
? Total yards: 213-137-221
? 3rd down conversions: 1-8, 3-12, 3-10
? Turnovers: 2-1-4 (minus-3 for season)
? Cardinals had zero red zone snaps in their last two games.
? Arizona has been scoreless in four of six halves this season.

In other words, Rosen?s starting won?t hurt any.

11) Happy 85th birthday to the great Hubie Brown, who won 528 games and two NBA Coach of the Year titles; he is still an excellent basketball analyst for ESPN.

Long time ago, October 15, 1984 to be exact, Knicks-Bulls played an exhibition game in Glens Falls, an hour from where I live- Michael Jordan was a rookie, but he wasn?t ?Michael Jordan? yet, just the 3rd pick in the NBA Draft.

Friend of mine and I went to Glens Falls during the day and walked in the arena while the Knicks were having their walk-thru. No one stopped us, so we went down to the floor and sat down on the end of the Knicks? bench and watched practice. When I stretched my legs, my feet were on the court- it was awesome.

10) After practice, I talked to Bernard King, the Knicks? star and Hubie Brown; both guys were nice to me, Coach Brown talked to me for 10 minutes about what stats (analytics now) are good to use and what ones aren?t. That was a good day

10) Clemson named true freshman Trevor Lawrence starting QB for this week vs Syracuse; the previous starter, Kelly Bryant, is apparently not happy and may transfer? he had a meeting with Dabo Swinney on Monday. The meeting was said to be ?emotional?; Bryant didn?t practice on Monday or Tuesday.

9) Garbagemen come thru my neighborhood at 5:40am on Tuesdays, when it is still very dark out- now that is a bad job, especially in winter, when it is cold as hell. In summers, the sun is actually out at 5:40, so it might not be so bad. What time do these guys have to get up? Yuk.

8) Angels? DH/P Shohei Ohtani will undergo elbow surgery next week; not sure what that means for his availability as a hitter next spring, but he won?t pitch at all next season.

7) Seems like NFL bye weeks are more stretched out this season; Panthers-Redskins are off this week; Rams-Chiefs don?t have their bye until Thanksgiving weekend, after their Mexico City tilt.

6) NFL teams who scored most pts/possession in the red zone this season:
Ravens 6.92 ppp, Chiefs 6.67, Bengals 6.50, Seahawks 6.33

Seattle scored 38 points on only six red zone drives, T3rd least in NFL. Arizona has only been inside opponents? red zone twice.

Teams with worst ppp in red zone:
Cardinals 3.00, Jets 3.33, Titans 3.83, Broncos 3.88

5) NFL teams who allowed fewest pts/possession in the red zone this season:
Titans 2.60, Dolphins 2.67, Eagles 3.25, Jaguars 3.67

Teams who?ve allowed most ppp in red zone:
Panthers 7.14, Bucs 6.56, Chiefs 6.44, Falcons 6.27

4) NFL teams who scored most ppp on drives starting 75+ yards from goal line:
Chiefs 2.94, Falcons 2.90, Ravens 2.87, Bengals 2.60

Teams who scored fewest ppp on drives starting 75+ yards from goal line:
Cardinals 0.65, Vikings 0.80, Jets/Texans 0.86

3) Teams with most plays of 20+ yards this season:
Bucs 21, Chargers 20, Chiefs 19, Broncos 18, Bengals 17

Teams with fewest plays of 20+ yards:
Cowboys 4, Titans 5, Cardinals/Bears/Patriots 6.

2) Teams who allowed fewest plays of 20+ yards:
Cowboys 4, Redskins 6, Jaguars 7, Ravens/Browns, Lions, Seahawks 9

Teams who allowed most plays of 20+ yards:
Chiefs/Steelers 20, Chargers/Raiders 17, Panthers 16

1) Buffalo has gone 3/out on 18 of its 35 drives this season.
Rams have gone 3/out on one of their 27 drives.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 16
David Schwab

It was a wild weekend in the CFL starting with Winnipeg?s 31-14 victory against Montreal on Friday night as a 10-point home favorite. Saturday?s action started with Ottawa pulling off the upset against Edmonton as a three-point underdog at home in a solid 28-15 victory.

Saskatchewan got past Toronto 30-29 later in the day, but the favored Roughriders could not cover the three points on the road. Week 15 closed things out with British Columbia squeezing past Hamilton 35-32 in overtime as a 2 ?-point underdog at home.

Friday, Sept. 28

Toronto Argonauts (3-9 SU, 5-7 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (10-2 SU, 7-5 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -13
Total:: 53

Game Overview

The Argonauts are fading from the playoff picture in the East Division with four straight-up losses in a row. Covering against Saskatchewan on Saturday moved them to 1-3 against the spread during this same span. The total went OVER 51 points in that game and it has now gone OVER in six of Toronto?s last eight games. Defensively, the Argos are allowing an average of 31.3 points per game.

Calgary is coming off a Week 15 bye. The Stampeders failed to clinch a playoff berth while remaining idle with the Roughriders? win, but they still have a comfortable two and a half game lead in the West Division title race. They have closed as favorites in all 12 games with an even 3-3 record ATS in six previous home games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games behind an offense that is averaging 31.7 points per game.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won nine of its last 10 games against Toronto SU including a 41-7 romp in Week 2 as a four-point road favorite. However, the Argonauts have a 5-2 edge ATS in their last seven road games against the Stampeders. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 11 meetings in Calgary.


Saturday, Sept. 29

British Columbia Lions (6-6 AU, 8-4 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-7 SU, 5-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7
Total:: 51

Game Overview

The Lions remain in the thick of the playoff race in the West as a possible crossover team to the weaker East Division. They have quietly put together a three-game winning streak both SU and ATS with the mild upset over Hamilton their last time out. Travis Lulay is sidelined with a separated shoulder, but Jonathan Jennings filled the void against the Tiger-Cats with 346 yards passing and three touchdown throws.

Hamilton fell two games off the pace set by Ottawa in the East with last week?s loss. Coming into the backend of this inter-division home-and-home series, they have lost their last two games (SU and ATS) following a SU three-game winning streak. This is the kind of inconsistency that has plagued the Tiger-Cats all season long. They are 3-3 SU at home this season with a 2-4 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in their last four games overall.

Betting Trends

-- BC has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in its last five games against Hamilton and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two. The Lions have won 11 of the last 16 games played in Hamilton SU.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (6-7 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ?
Total:: 56

Game Overview

Winnipeg moved a half game out of the final playoff spot with Friday?s win. The victory snapped a four-game losing streak both SU and ATS. It was also the first time in the Blue Bombers? last five games that the total stayed UNDER the closing line. It has gone OVER in nine of their first 13 games this season. Matt Nichols completed 72 percent of his 25 passing attempts on Friday for 256 yards and a score.

The Eskimos? slow start out of the gate on Saturday led to an early 9-0 deficit that they could never close. This was a bad loss for a team chasing a playoff spot in the West and their third SU setback in their last four games. The total stayed UNDER 55 points against the RedBlacks and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in five of Edmonton?s last seven games. The Eskimos have gone 3-7 ATS this season when closing as favorites.

Betting Trends

-- These two division rivals met in Week 1 with Edmonton coming away with a 33-30 win on the road as a seven-point favorite. Winnipeg has covered ATS in four of the last five meetings with the total going OVER in three of the five games.


Sunday, Sept. 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (3-10 SU, 6-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
Total:: 48

Game Overview

The Roughriders have won five of their last six games SU, but they have failed to cover in their last two contests. The total went OVER 51 points in Saturday?s win at Toronto and it has gone OVER in five of their last six games. Zach Collaros tossed two touchdowns and two interceptions in that game with Marcus Thigpen leading the way on the ground with 95 yards rushing on just four carries. His longest run of the day covered 82 yards resulting in a score.

Montreal continues to bring up the rear in the East Division behind an offense that is averaging just 16.8 points a game. Johnny Manziel got the chance to start at quarterback against Winnipeg and he ended the game with 212 yards passing and 36 more yards on the ground. Trailing by two touchdowns at halftime, the Alouettes could only manage to score eight points over the final two quarters.

Betting Trends

-- Montreal has won four of its last five games against the Roughriders SU including this season?s 23-17 victory in late June as a 10 ?-point road underdog. The Alouettes are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games against Saskatchewan and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings overall.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 16

Friday, September 28

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TORONTO (3 - 9) at CALGARY (10 - 2) - 9/28/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, September 29

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BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 6) at HAMILTON (6 - 7) - 9/29/2018, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 98-72 ATS (+18.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WINNIPEG (6 - 7) at EDMONTON (7 - 6) - 9/29/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games in September games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 4-3 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, September 30

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SASKATCHEWAN (8 - 5) at MONTREAL (3 - 10) - 9/30/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 126-93 ATS (+23.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
MONTREAL is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 3-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-1 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, September 28

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Calgary
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto



Saturday, September 29

British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
British Columbia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
British Columbia is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games
British Columbia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
British Columbia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
British Columbia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 8 of British Columbia's last 11 games when playing Hamilton
British Columbia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
British Columbia is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of British Columbia's last 15 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Hamilton is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games at home
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
Hamilton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 11 games when playing British Columbia
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Hamilton is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Hamilton's last 15 games when playing at home against British Columbia


Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games
Winnipeg is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Winnipeg's last 22 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 3-14-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
Edmonton is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Edmonton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg



Sunday, September 30

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Saskatchewan is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Saskatchewan's last 20 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Montreal is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 games
Montreal is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Montreal is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games at home
Montreal is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
Montreal is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Montreal is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Montreal's last 20 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL

Dunkel

Week 16


Friday, September 28

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 671-672
September 28, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
106.815
Calgary
118.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 11 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 14
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+14); Over


Saturday, September 29

BC Lions @ Hamilton

Game 673-674
September 29, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
BC Lions
114.933
Hamilton
112.656
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 2 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 7 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(+7 1/2); Over

Winnipeg @ Edmonton

Game 675-676
September 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
107.997
Edmonton
117.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 9 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 6
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-6); Under


Sunday, September 30

Saskatchewan @ Montreal

Game 677-678
September 30, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
111.816
Montreal
101.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Saskatchewan
by 10
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Saskatchewan
by 6 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Saskatchewan
(-6 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

WEST DIVISION

RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV
1 Calgary 12 10 2 0 20 380 248 6-0-0 4-2-0 4-2-0
2 Saskatchewan 13 8 5 0 16 333 332 4-3-0 4-2-0 4-2-0
3 Edmonton 13 7 6 0 14 368 340 5-1-0 2-5-0 4-2-0
4 BC 12 6 6 0 12 294 296 5-1-0 1-5-0 2-4-0
5 Winnipeg 13 6 7 0 12 396 330 4-3-0 2-4-0 1-5-0


EAST DIVISION
RK TEAM GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV
1 Ottawa 13 8 5 0 16 327 293 4-2-0 4-3-0 3-2-0
2 Hamilton 13 6 7 0 12 367 331 3-3-0 3-4-0 3-1-0
3 Toronto 12 3 9 0 6 265 376 3-4-0 0-5-0 1-3-0
4 Montreal 13 3 10 0 6 218 402 1-5-0 2-5-0 2-3-0

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 16

Toronto (3-9) @ Calgary (10-2) (-13.5, 53)? Stampeders won nine of last ten series games; they crushed Argos 41-7 (-4) in Toronto back in June. Argonauts lost last four visits here, but did cover two of those games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Toronto lost its last four games, giving up 34.3 ppg; they?re 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games overall. Calgary covered only one of its last four home games; Four of their last five games went over.

BC Lions @ Hamilton (-7, 51)? Lions won five of last six series games; they beat Ti-Cats 35-32 in OT at home Saturday, after tying game at gun in regulation. Over is 7-3 in their last 10 series games. BC won its last two visits here, 41-26/28-3. Lions won their last three games, scoring 31 ppg; they lost four of last five road games. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Hamilton gave up 78 points in losing its last two games; their last four games went over the total. Ti-Cats lost three of their last five home games.

Winnipeg (6-7) @ Edmonton (7-6) (-6.5, 56)? Road team won seven of last ten series games, with Eskimos going 7-3 in those games. Blue Bombers won 28-19/30-23 in their last two trips here. Four of last six series games went over the total. Winnipeg lost four of its last five games; they lost three of last four road games. Six of their last eight games went over the total. Eskimos lost three of last four games but won last four at home, scoring 48-40 points in their last couple home tilts. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Saskatchewan (8-5) (-6.5, 48) @ Montreal (3-10)? Alouettes won four of last five series games; they upset Roughriders 23-17 (+10.5) in late June. Riders lost four of last five visits here, with the one win in OT, back in 2015. Saskatchewan won five of last six games after escaping Toronto with a 30-29 win LW; Riders won last three road games, scoring 28.7 ppg- their last four games went over the total. Montreal lost 31-14/32-14 last two weeks; they covered four of their last six games. Last four Alouette games stayed under the total.

Through Week 15: Favorites 24-33; Under 32-22-2

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 28
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

TOR at CGY 09:00 PM
CGY -14.5
O 52.5

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

BC at HAM 04:00 PM
BC +7.0
U 50.5

WPG at EDM 07:00 PM
EDM -6.5
U 56.0

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS
SSK at MTL 01:00 PM
MTL +6.5
U 48.0

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

STAMPS GALLOP AWAY IN SECOND HALF TO TOP ARGOS AT MCMAHON

CALGARY ? The Calgary Stampeders advanced to the playoffs for a club-record 14th straight season after a 38-16 home victory against the Toronto Argonauts on Friday night. Receiver Marken Michel stepped up in a major way for the Stamps, scoring a 36-yard rushing touchdown to open the scoring and a 21-yard receiving touchdown to help put the game out of reach.

While the Argos were only down by four points at halftime, the Stamps completely took over in the second half and scored 24 unanswered points to improve their record to 11-2 while handing Toronto their fifth straight loss.

Bo Levi Mitchell chipped in a productive performance for Calgary, completing 20 of 24 passes for 307 yards and two touchdowns. Mitchell completed passes to nine different receivers and now has touchdown passes in 14 consecutive games.

An impressive 36-yard sweep play by Michel opened up the scoring on the Stamps? first drive of the game. Michel got into open space and used his speed to make multiple Argo defenders miss on his way to the end zone. But the extra point kick went wide to the right, leaving Calgary with the early 6-0 lead.

The Argos responded right away with a touchdown drive of their own, as a 17-yard completion from McLeod Bethel-Thompson to S.J. Green set up a one-yard quarterback sneak touchdown run by James Franklin, his 12th rushing score of the season. Zack Medeiros added the extra point to grab the one-point lead for Toronto.

Calgary suffered a major loss in the first quarter when receiver Reggie Begelton went down with an injury during a special teams play. The 25-year-old receiver was carted off to the locker room and did not return. The Stamps did regain the lead shortly after when the Argos surrendered a safety, putting Calgary up 8-7.

Kicker Rene Paredes extended Calgary?s lead to four points with a 13-yard field goal near the start of the second quarter. Mitchell set up the field goal with key completions to young receivers Markeith Ambles and Richard Sindani.

Green came through with one of the nicest plays of the season so far when he stretched out to make a highlight reel 29-yard grab near the left sideline. The spectacular catch helped the Argos pull within a point by setting up a successful 29-yard field goal from Medeiros.

The Stamps quickly battled back, with Mitchell finding Ambles again for a big 44-yard gain to put the team in scoring position. But the Argo?s defence held strong and forced Calgary to settle for a nine-yard field goal from Paredes, giving the Stamps a 14-10 lead at halftime.

Calgary added to their lead at the start of the second half when a big 40-yard catch from Julan Lynch brought the team into Argos territory. Mitchell dropped the pass in perfectly where only Lynch could get it, and the receiver gained 13 yards after the catch to set up a 14-yard field goal from Paredes that gave the Stamps a 17-10 lead.

The Argos attempted to answer back, but Bethel-Thompson was picked off by Stamps defensive back Brandon Smith while attempting to complete a throw to Armanti Edwards. The Stamps? offence capitalized right away with a two-yard quarterback sneak touchdown run from Nick Arbuckle. Paredes added the extra point to put Calgary on top 24-10 in the third quarter.

Michel struck again in the fourth quarter with another big touchdown play. The 25-year-old receiver showcased his playmaking ability once again by taking a Mitchell pass and gaining an extra 17 yards after the catch to accelerate his way to the end zone for the score. Paredes knocked the convert through to give Calgary a 31-10 lead.

Calgary didn?t take their foot off the gas pedal after that, and Mitchell threw his second touchdown strike of the night by hitting receiver Juwan Brescacin for a 5-yard score. The touchdown was set up by another impressive play from Lynch in which he gained took a short pass and gained 22 yards. The extra point gave the Stamps a 38-10 lead in the fourth quarter.

The Argos added another short rushing touchdown in the game?s final minute when Bethel-Thompson scored from a yard out, but it was too little too late as the Stamps walked away with the 38-16 victory to clinch a playoff spot.

The Toronto Argonauts will be on the road again in Week 17 when they face the BC Lions on October 6th, while the Calgary Stampeders will travel to take on the Montreal Alouettes on October 8th.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sept. Picks................and Best Bets

09/28/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
09/21/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/03/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
09/02/2018 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00


TOTALS............5-6-1........45.45%......-8.00


DATE.....................ATS.................UNITS ...................O/U..................UNITS..............TOTAL


09/28/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................1 - 0..................+5.00..............+10.00
09/22/2018..........3 - 0.................+15.00................1 - 2...................-6.00...............+9.00
09/21/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................1 - 0..................+5.00...............-0.50
09/07/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
09/03/2018..........0 - 2.................-11.00.................1 - 1...................-0.50...............-11.50
09/02/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................0 - 0..................+0.00..............+5.00


TOTALS................5 - 4..................+3.00................4 - 4...................-2.00................+1.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s six-pack

Teams ranked #7-12 in Blue Ribbon Yearbook?s top 25 basketball teams:

12) North Carolina Tar Heels

11) Mississippi State Bulldogs

10) Michigan State Spartans

9) Oregon Ducks

8) Auburn Tigers

7) Virginia Cavaliers

Quote of the Day
?I worked out with him (Jimmy Butler) all summer so when I said what I meant, it was like a right hook, I didn?t see it coming. I didn?t know. I thought ? it looked like from everything things were going good. But sometimes it?s a money aspect and fans and different players got to understand that. I understand that with being in the league for so many years, but got to try to just see what we can do. ? One thing about everybody who?s here, from the coaching staff, players, everybody?s familiar with each other, we?ve been through a lot together so we just got to keep trying.?
Timberwolves? Taj Gibson

Saturday?s quiz
Where did Jimmy Butler play his college basketball?

Friday?s quiz
Before the Texas Rangers became the Texas Rangers, they were the Washington Senators.

Thursday?s quiz
The Sun Bowl is held in El Paso, TX every December.

************************

Saturday?s List of 13: Trends on non-top 13 college football games

13) Army lost in OT at Oklahoma LW; they?re 9-4-1 vs spread in last 14 games as a single digit underdog. Under Monken, Cadets are 7-7-2 as road underdogs. Buffalo is 3-0-1 in last four games as a home favorite. Home side won last three series games, with all three games decided by 8 or fewer points.

12) Northern Illinois won its last six games with Eastern Michigan, last two 30-27/31-24. NIU is 10-5 as road underdogs under Carey, 0-2 this year. Since ?08, EMU is 5-12 as home favorites, 3-3 in last six. Eagles are 14-15 SU in their last 29 games, after going 7-41 from 2012-15.

11) Syracuse upset Clemson at home LY, after losing 54-0 in Death Valley two years ago; under Babers, Orange are 7-3 as road underdogs- they covered seven of last nine games when getting 20+ points. Since 2008, Tigers are 12-21 when laying 20+ points.

10) Air Force won three of last four games with Nevada, with average total in those games, 84. Wolf Pack lost 45-48 OT/48-31 in last two visits here. Nevada is 4-9 in its last 16 games as home favorites, 7-9 in last 16 games as single digit dogs. Since 2009, Falcons are 8-16 as MW home favorites.

9) Arizona State/Oregon State split last six meetings; Beavers lost 30-17/35-20 in last two trips to Tempe. Since ?12, ASU is 19-11 as home favorites; they covered only one of last five when laying 20+ points. Since 2014, OSU is 7-14-1 as road underdogs, 2-4-1 when getting 20+ points.

8) Underdogs covered five of last six Georgia-Tennessee games. Dawgs beat Tennessee 41-0 in Knoxville LY; prior to that, previous five meetings were all decided by 7 or fewer points, with average total of 67. Vols are 0-6 vs spread last six times they got 20+ points.

7) TCU won four of last five games with Iowa State, losing 14-7 (-6 in Ames LY; Cyclones are 6-4 as road underdogs under Campbell, 5-2 in last seven games as double digit dogs. TCU lost last two games to Ohio St/Texas; they?re 2-9-1 in last dozen games as home favorites.

6) Not only is Nebraska 0-3 for first time since 1945; they?re 0-9 vs spread in last nine home games; Cornhuskers won four of last five games with Purdue, winning 27-14/35-14 in last two games played here. Underdogs are 22-7 vs spread in Purdue?s last 29 road games; since 2012. Boilers are 0-3 as road favorites.

5) Louisiana Tech won three of last four games with North Texas, but Mean Green upset Tech 24-23 in Ruston LY- road teams won four of last five series games. Since 2011, UNT is 14-7 as home favorite, but only 2-5 in last seven C-USA games as a HF. Tech is 11-3 in last 14 games as a road underdog.

4) Western Kentucky won three of last four games with Marshall, but lost 30-23 (+10) in Huntington LY. Since 2014, Marshall is 8-6-1 as road favorites; they?re 6-3-1 in last 10 games as single digit dogs. Since 2009, Hilltoppers are 12-5 as home underdogs.

3) Florida Atlantic beat Middle Tennessee 38-20 LY, ending 9-game series skid; under Kiffin, FAU is 9-3 vs spread as favorites, 3-1 on road. Since ?08, Blue Raiders are 4-10 as home dogs. Owls lost last visit to Murfreesboro 77-56 two years ago.

2) Boise State won five of last six games with Wyoming, losing 30-28 (-14) in last visit to Laramie, two years ago (Josh Allen was Wyoming?s QB). Since ?08, Boise is 37-16 as a road favorite- they?re 15-19 in last 34 games when laying 10+ points.

1) Michigan beat Northwestern 38-0 at home in 2015, teams? last meeting; Wolverines won last three visits to Evanston, by 1-8ot-18 points. Since ?13, Michigan is 5-8 as road favorites; they?re 17-18 in last 35 games as double digit favorites. Wildcats are 7-3 in last 10 games as double digit underdogs.

 

[Cnotes53]

PREVIEW

TICATS LOOK TO GET EVEN IN REMATCH WITH LIONS

HAMILTON ? The Hamilton Tiger-Cats and BC Lions will close out their home-and-home series at Tim Hortons Field on Saturday in a rematch of what may have been the CFL game of the year.

The Lions emerged with a thrilling 35-32 overtime victory in Week 15 after scoring a touchdown and two-point conversion on the final play of regulation to send the game into OT.

There was controversy surrounding the Ticats? decision to kick a punt single rather than attempt a 44-yard field goal with less than a minute left in the game. Rather than potentially being down by 10 points, BC got the ball back down by only eight.

Lions quarterback Jonathon Jennings executed a miraculous drive in the dying second of the game that led to a 20-yard Bryan Burnham touchdown with zeros on the clock. Jennings found Burnham again for the two-point covert. The initial ruling on the field of an incomplete pass was overturned after video review showed that Burnham was in bounds.

The two squads exchanged field goals on their first possessions in overtime, but the Ticats? second attempt from 42 yards out went wide. The miss set up a 39-yard game-winning field goal for Lions kicker Ty Long.

?It was crazy,? Jennings told BCLions.com post-game. ?When you?re in the moment, it doesn?t seem as crazy, but when you look back and see all the things we had to jump through at the end of the game to find a way to win, it?s nuts.?

Jennings finished the night with 347 yards and three touchdown passes. His favourite target of the night was Burnham, who collected 90 yards and two touchdowns on 10 catches.

Both received Shaw CFL Top Performer of the Week honours.

Defensive tackle Davon Coleman was also impressive, racking up three quarterback sacks against his former squad.

Jeremiah Masoli threw for 311 yards and two touchdowns. Mike Jones was on the receiving end of both touchdown passes, finishing with a career high 138 yards.

Linebacker Larry Dean had a game-high and career-high 11 tackles.

When asked about the decision to not attempt a field goal late in the game, Jones said the clock was the biggest factor.

?You?ve got that much time, you?re going to win the game right?? Jones told Ticats.ca. ?Who thinks they?re going to go touchdown and two-point conversion.?

Hamilton will get a boost with the return of Brandon Banks. The team?s leading receiver is expected to play after missing the past two games with a groin injury.

?Speedy B? says it has been tough to watch his team from the sidelines.

?I don?t like sitting out,? said Banks. ?With the two losses, I feel like I could have helped there somewhere. Just being around the guys, I miss that.?

Fellow receiver Terrence Toliver was placed under concussion protocol after being injured last week, but has been cleared to play on Saturday.

On defence, the Ticats will be without defensive linemen Jamaal Westerman and Jason Neill. Westerman has been placed on the six-game injured list with an apparent ankle injury while Neill is dealing with a pulled hamstring.

Kelvin Palmer will start at left tackle in place of Avery Jordan, who will miss the game due to a family matter.

With so much parity in the league, it is difficult to beat the same team twice, let alone two weeks in a row.

The Lions are trying not to focus on the difficulties of playing the Ticats back-to-back.

?It?s better to approach it as a new game,? said Head Coach Wally Buono. ?It?s better to approach it as a whole new adventure?.The conditions aren?t the same. The atmosphere won?t be the same. It?s the next game on the schedule.?

The last time the Lions were at Tim Hortons Field in July of 2017, Jennings was injured on the team?s first play from scrimmage and did not return. Travis Lulay came into the game and threw for 464 yards en route to a 41-26 victory. Lulay set a CFL record for most yards thrown by a quarterback in relief.

With the veteran out with a shoulder injury, it?s now Jennings? turn to step up.

?It?s redemption for me because the last time I was here, obviously I got hurt,? said Jennings. ?So I?m excited to be back?It?s loud out here. It?s windy out here. It makes for a challenge in a sense, but as a football player, as a competitor, it?s always exciting playing in front of a crowd like that.?

By The Numbers:

3 ? Overtime games played between the Lions and Ticats. BC has won all three contests (1994, 2000, 2018).

6 ? Sacks by Davon Coleman over the past three games.

24th ? Straight start for Jeremiah Masoli this week. The last Hamilton QB to start as many as 24 consecutive games was Henry Burris through 2011-2012.

431.5 ? League high total yards per game by Hamilton?s offence.

Don?t sleep on the BC Lions.

After a mid season slump, the Leos have now won three straight and currently hold the crossover spot in the West Division.

The Lions have a recent history of being better after the nine-game mark. From 2011 to 2016, BC?s record over the final nine games was 35-19 compared to 30-24 mark before the midway mark.

A win for Hamilton would see them split the season series with BC for the fifth time in the last six years.

Can the Tabbies snap their two game losing skid? Or will the Lions make it four in a row?

Kickoff is at 4:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN and ESPN+.

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

THE HAMMER DROPS ON LIONS; TICATS WIN AT THF

HAMILTON ? May it be the time difference or simply just being outperformed by the Ticats, the Lions seemed to enter Round 2 of the back-to-back series against the Tabbies asleep as they went on to lose 40-10 in Hamilton. The win brings the Tiger-Cats back to a .500 record with four games remaining on their schedule.

The two teams were coming off an exciting Week 15 tilt in Vancouver, with the Lions coming out on top in that contest following a last-second touchdown and two-point conversion to force overtime, eventually finishing in favour of the Lions. However, it would be the Ticats who got the last word in Saturday?s Week 16 matchup between the two squads at Tim Hortons Field.

In his first game back since an injury on September 8 sidelined him for the next two games, Ticats? Brandon Banks got involved in the offence right off the hop with a first down reception.

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats opened up the scoring on their first offensive drive that covered 88 yards in eight plays. Luke Tasker caught the 13-yard pass from Jeremiah Masoli, putting the Tabbies up with a route over the middle of the end zone.

Lirim Hajrullahu missed the point after attempt, limiting Hamilton to a 6-0 lead.

Jonathon Jennings and the Lions offence were looking to continue their momentum from last weekend?s thrilling win against the Ticats, however, Hamilton?s Don Unamba had other plans as he intercepted Jennings on his first pass attempt. The Ticats? linebacker then rumbled 30 yards to give the Ticats a 13-0 lead following the made point after.

BC?s offence continued to struggle in the early going?s of the first quarter, going two-and-out. On second down, Justin Cappiccotti of the Tiger-Cats grabbed ahold of Jennings as the pocket quickly collapsed on the Lions signal-caller, leading to a fumble of which Jennings would pounce on, but not before losing several yards.

Hamilton continued to pile on the points in the first quarter, further extending their lead to 20-0 after a seven play drive, capped off with a seven-yard touchdown to Brandon Banks, who was playing his first game since September 8 due to a groin injury that forced him out of the Tabbies last two games.

As the first quarter wrapped up, the Ticats had inserted their dominance on the ground over the course of the first 15 minutes. Hamilton running back John White closed out the quarter with 81 yards on the ground with six carries. White would finish the game eclipsing the century mark by rushing the ball.

Ty Long snapped the scoreless half for the Lions with a 29-yard field goal after the Lions had their strive stalled by the Ticats defence after marching 47 yards.

With a catch that everyone needed a second glance to understand, Mike Jones hauled in a 38-yard bomb that slipped through the hands of a Lions defender as a falling Jones cradled the ball in unsuspectingly for the reception. On the same play, Terrence Toliver went down with an undisclosed injury, which prevented him from returning to the game.

Banks scored his second touchdown of the game and ninth of the season with five minutes remaining in the first half. The touchdown further extended the Hamilton lead to 27-3 following the point after by Hajrullahu.

The first half struggles continued for the Lions as Jennings threw his second interception on the ensuing drive. On a play where the pass was tipped by Hamilton?s Simoni Lawrence, Cariel Brooks came down with his third interception of the season.

Before the half expired, Hajrullahu made his first field goal of the day with a 24-yard field goal to push the Ticats up to a 27-point advantage, leading 30-3.

The Lions marched their way downfield on their following offensive drive all the way to the goal line, only to have DeVier Posey drop a touchdown pass as the clock hit zeros.

Jeremiah Masoli finished the first half with three touchdowns and 175 yards through the air.

In the third quarter, Ted Laurent and the Hamilton defence continued to apply the pressure onto Jennings. Laurent recorded two sacks on back-to-back drives by the Lions offence.

The Lions continued their offensive woes as Jonathon Jennings threw his third interception of the game. Ticats? Mike Daly got his mitts on the pass and returned the ball 58 yards for Hamilton?s second defensive touchdown of the game. The pick stands as Daly?s third interception of the season and first career touchdown.

With the score, the Lions continued to find themselves in a deeper and deeper hole, falling behind 40-3 as the third quarter came to a close.

Cody Fajardo came in to replace Jennings on the Lions? final drive of the third quarter and continued the fourth quarter at the helm of the BC offence. On the Lions first full drive of the final quarter, Fajardo and the offence started their drive already with good field position in the Hamilton end of the field. Six plays later, Fajardo found Shaquille Johnson in the end zone for the Lions? first major of the game. A missed two-point conversion kept the Ticats lead at a 31-point differential.

Prior to the three-minute warning of the fourth quarter, the Ticats sent backup quarterback Dane Evans into the game to finish the game as the Tiger-Cats went on to win a dominating performance with a 40-10 victory of Round 2 of the feline fight.

Hamilton will take the win and enjoy Week 17 on their final bye week of the season. As for the Lions, the loss in Hamilton marks their sixth road loss of the season, having only won once as the away team so far this season. They will be at home in Week 17 against the Argonauts on Saturday night with a 7:00 p.m. ET kickoff.

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

PRAIRIE FOGG: BOMBERS STIFLE ESKS IN ONE-SIDED WIN

EDMONTON ? There?s something about playing the Edmonton Eskimos that brings the best out of Kevin Fogg.

Nearly four months after scoring on a 110-yard missed field goal return in the season-opener, the Winnipeg Blue Bomber defender was at it again on Saturday night, forcing one fumble, recovering another and scoring on an interception to help the visitors defeat the Eskimos 30-3.

Fogg and the Bomber defence stifled Mike Reilly from start to finish, scoring 20 points off seven turnovers to silence a crowd of 28,788 at The Brick Field at Commonwealth Stadium in Edmonton.

Reilly was held to 164 yards on 17-of-31 passing and threw two interceptions, including the pick-six to Fogg in the third quarter that put the game out of reach for the Green and Gold.

The Eskimos? pivot left the game in some discomfort with just over four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter after taking a sack, but was later spotted wearing his helmet and appeared to be alright.

Matt Nichols did what was needed, completing 16 of 20 for 169 yards and an interception in the win, while Andrew Harris rushed for a first-half touchdown and 73 yards on 20 carries.

With the win, the Bombers pulled into a third-place tie in the West with the Eskimos, the division rivals owning identical 7-7 records.

The two teams will meet again to close out the regular season on Nov. 3 in a rematch at Commonwealth, with the season series now knotted at one game apiece.

Rookie defensive back Marcus Sayles seemed like he was everywhere early in the game, setting the tone with a blocked punt on the opening possession to set up a Justin Medlock field goal, giving the Bombers the game?s first strike.

Sayles was at it again the next time on defence, delivering an echoing hit on Sam Giguere to force the Eskimos to punt for the second consecutive time out. The Bombers mustered a first down thanks to some pinpoint accuracy from Nichols on a 29-yard completion to Drew Wolitarsky, but all they could do was flip the field before having to punt.

Field position would become the theme of the first half, with the Eskimos? second major miscue of the first quarter tilting the gridiron in Winnipeg?s favour. With Duke Williams looking to extend the drive on a second-down catch, Fogg forced him to fumble and sophomore Brandon Alexander recovered, setting the Bomber offence up near midfield.

However, the Bomber offence failed to take advantage, as a false start penalty and Kwaku Boateng?s ninth sack of the season led to a second-and-23, and eventually another punt by Medlock.

After the two offences combined for just five first downs and 104 yards of offence through 15 minutes, the Bombers finally cashed in on their edge in field position early in the second quarter. It started with an illegal contact penalty, which extended the drive on second down before Harris moved the sticks again with back-to-back runs into Eskimos territory.

Following completions to Wolitarsky and rookie Daniel Petermann ? making his first career start in place of the injured Nic Demski ? Chris Streveler finished things off with a one-yard sneak from the one, scoring the game?s first major to put Winnipeg ahead 10-0.

The Eskimos? third turnover of the first half would prove to be the costliest. After a two-and-out, Reilly was back on the field and looking to make something happen, but his pass on second-and-nine was intercepted by Bombers national safety Taylor Loffler and, after a pitch to Fogg, returned to the Edmonton 26.

Moments later, the workhorse running back Harris was on his way into the end zone for his first touchdown of the game, extending the Bombers? lead to 17-0.

The Esks broke their goose egg with a late field goal from Sean Whyte, but trailed by two touchdowns going into the break. Nichols completed nine of his 11 passing attempts in the first half for the Bombers, but the big difference through 30 minutes was the three turnovers by the Eskimos.

It was more of the same for the Green and Gold early in the third quarter, when Reilly, driving the Eskimos into scoring position to try and pull within a touchdown, threw an errant pass that was intercepted by Fogg. The Bombers? playmaking corner had his fourth pick of the season, and would take it back 71 yards for a touchdown the other way, extending Winnipeg?s lead to 24-3.

The Bomber defence wasn?t finished yet. Soon after, Alexander hit Reilly?s arm from behind while throwing, with the fumble falling into the hands of Fogg, marking the fifth turnover of the game for the Eskimos. Medlock added another three-pointer, extending the lead to 27-3, with 20 of those points coming off turnovers.

Medlock added his third field goal of the night for the Bombers, while Nichols was picked off by Eskimos defender Monshadrik Hunter in the fourth quarter.

Reilly left the game with 4:30 left and was replaced by Danny O?Brien after being sacked and getting up slowly. He was looked at by trainers but was later spotted standing with a helmet on alongside Kevin Glenn.

Turnovers were by far the biggest factor in the game, with the Bombers holding a 7-1 edge in the takeaway department. The Eskimos gave the football away three times each on fumbles and interceptions, and once on downs. That took the pressure off the Bomber offence, which needed just 239 net yards and 17 first downs to notch the W.

Wolitarsky led Bombers receivers with four catches for 51 yards, while Harris, in addition to his 73 yards on the ground, added 24 receiving yards on four receptions. With 1,051 yards on the season, Harris remains the league?s second-ranked rusher, still 90 yards back of league-leader and Ottawa REDBLACK William Powell.

Despite the one-sided score, running back C.J. Gable had 64 yards on 11 carries for the Eskimos. Their passing attack was led by Bryant Mitchell, who finished with a game-high 69 yards on six receptions.

Both teams hold a two-point edge over the fifth-place Lions, as the race for playoff positioning in the West continues to intensify. The top three teams are guaranteed a spot, but a fourth addition is almost a certainty via the East Division crossover.

The slumping Eskimos, who have lost back-to-back games and four of their last five, look to get back on track in a Thanksgiving clash with the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Oct. 8.

The Bombers seek a third straight win on Oct. 5 when they visit the nation?s capital to take on the REDBLACKS.

 

[Cnotes53]

Sept. Picks................and Best Bets

09/29/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/28/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
09/21/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/03/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
09/02/2018 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00


TOTALS............7-8-1........46.66%......-9.00


DATE.....................ATS.................UNITS ...................O/U..................UNITS..............TOTAL

09/29/2018..........0 - 2.................-11.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00.............-1.00
09/28/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................1 - 0..................+5.00..............+10.00
09/22/2018..........3 - 0.................+15.00................1 - 2...................-6.00...............+9.00
09/21/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................1 - 0..................+5.00...............-0.50
09/07/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
09/03/2018..........0 - 2.................-11.00.................1 - 1...................-0.50...............-11.50
09/02/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................0 - 0..................+0.00..............+5.00


TOTALS................5 - 6..................-8.00................6 - 4...................+8.00................+0.00

 

[Cnotes53]

PREVIEW

RIDERS LOOK TO CONTINUE STRONG SECOND HALF AGAINST ALS

MONTREAL ? The Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes are close out Week 16 Sunday afternoon, as the cross division rivals collide for a matinee at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium.

The Riders are on a roll, having won five of their last six games. Meanwhile, the slumping Als are looking to avoid a third straight loss.

Saskatchewan held off the Toronto Argonauts for a 30-29 victory on the road last week. The Riders led by as many as 13 points in the second quarter, but saw the lead slip away as the game progressed.

Kicker Brett Lauther booted a 56-yard go-ahead field goal with just over a minute remaining in the game to put the Riders back on top. The Argos attempted a 51-yard field goal for the with 10 second left on the clock, but fell short of the comeback.

Riders quarterback Zach Collaros threw for 233 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions in the win. Jordan Williams-Lambert turned both of his receptions into touchdowns, while Naaman Roosevelt had a team-high 105 yards on 10 catches.

Head Coach and General Manager Chris Jones was happy with his team?s effort, despite letting the win almost get away.

?We?re never going to apologize for a win, I can assure you that,? Jones told Riderville.com. ?We?re on the road, east coast travel, so there?s a lot of factors and things against you. You look at all these game where you have to travel, they?re tough games. They did a good job of scrapping and getting back into the football game? we?re fortunate to walk out of here with a win.?

The Riders have a bone to pick with Montreal after the Als defeated them back in Week 3. Saskatchewan fell behind early in the game and fought back in the second half, but ultimately lost 23-17. It was Montreal?s first win of the season.

?That was a big game for us early in the season, and for us to just lose it the way we lost it?? said defensive lineman Willie Jefferson. ?We?ve grown a lot as a team now. We?re just trying to get over that hump, get through this next game and keep going.?

They will have to try and pick up a win without their top receiver. Roosevelt is being kept out of the lineup for precautionary reasons after taking a hit last week.

Kenny Shaw, a former 1,000-yard receiver with the Toronto Argonauts before signing with the Ottawa REDBLACKS last season and then being cut this off-season, will take his place.

One player that wasn?t part of the narrative the last time these teams faced was Alouettes pivot Johnny Manziel.

The Als are aware that they will be going up against an unpredictable quarterback in Manziel ? a challenge that defensive back Ed Gainey is looking forward to.

?He?s a guy that can make plays any time he?s out there,? said Gainey. ?He?s the quarterback that we?re playing against this week. We?re not going to make it bigger than what it is. I know he?s looking to get in his groove, but not against us.?

The Als looked to be trending in the right direction heading into their Week 13 bye, winning two straight games. However, Montreal has struggled since returning to action, dropping two straight.

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers downed the Als 31-14 in Week 15, snapping a four-game losing skid. Manziel?s first start in six games wasn?t enough to lead Montreal to victory. He completed 18-of-25 attempts (72%) for 212 yards with one interception.

Manziel said he felt more comfortable in his third CFL start, but not seeing the results is frustrating.

?These guys want to win,? Manziel said after the loss. ?There?s no denying the will and the want to in this locker-room and with this team. It?s the little things that we?re not doing to keep us together as far as penalties, flipping the field when we need to, doing little bitty things that we can execute better on.?

Manziel will still be searching for his first CFL win when he takes the field on Sunday afternoon.

The Als still have a lot of kinks to work out, and little time to do it. Montreal is averaging a league-low 303.2 net yards on offence, while giving up a league-worst 427.5 yards on defence.

In a move for the future of the franchise, the Alouettes decided to trade veteran running back Tyrell Sutton to the BC Lions earlier in the week in exchange for a second round pick and conditional sixth round in 2019.

The 31-year-old spent six seasons with the Alouettes, amassing 3,573 yards on 649 carries in 69 games. Sutton has not seen the field since Aug. 18 and was on the teams six-game injured list.

Twenty-four-year William Stanback?s time has arrived, becoming the full-time starter in Montreal with long-term upside. Stanback offers a unique blend of size and speed, and has earned the role of lead back after averaging 6.4 yards per season to date throughout his rookie campaign.

By The Numbers:

13 ? League-leading sacks for Riders defensive lineman Charleston Hughes. However, he has now gone three games without taking down a quarterback.

16 ? Straight games that the Riders have gone without reaching the 300-plus yard passing mark.

48 ? Sacks given up this season by the Montreal Alouettes.

79 ? Tackles this season by Als linebacker Henoc Muamba, the second most in the league behind only Alex Singleton of the Calgary Stampeders.

It?s no secret that the Riders are the favourites heading into Week 16, especially given their record in the second half of the CFL season.

However, it?s Montreal?s recent track record against Saskatchewan that is working in their favour.

The Als have won four of their last five meetings against the Riders, and have used a different quarterback in each win ? Kevin Glenn, Vernon Adams Jr, Darian Durant and Drew Willy.

Can the Riders pull off a fifth win with Manziel? Or will the Riders continue to cruise into the playoffs?

Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on TSN, RDS and ESPN2

 

[Cnotes53]

GAME RECAP

RIDERS HOLD OFF ALS FOR 34-29 VICTORY AT PERCIVAL MOLSON STADIUM

MONTREAL ? The Saskatchewan Roughriders keep finding a way to win.

The Riders picked up their sixth win in seven games, taking down the Montreal Alouettes 34-29 to cap off Week 16.

Zach Collaros threw for 394 yards with one touchdown and one interception in the win.

Johnny Manziel threw his first two CFL touchdown passes in the victory, but his efforts just fell shorts of a comeback win.

The Als got on the board first after capitalizing on a Riders? turnover. Jesse Joseph sacked Collaros, forcing the ball loose, which was then recovered by Ryan Brown at Saskatchewan?s own 32-yard line.

Manziel followed that play up with a long 24-yard pass to Ernest Jackson to place the Als deep in the red zone. Antonio Pipkin capped off the drive with a short run across the goal line to put Montreal up 7-0 midway through the first quarter.

The lead didn?t last long.

The Riders responded on their ensuing drive as Tre Mason blew past Montreal?s defence for a 27-yard rushing touchdown.

Saskatchewan would take their first lead of the game before the end of the first quarter. On the final play, a scrambling Collaros connected with Kyran Moore for a 23-yard major.

The extra point was unsuccessful.

It was Johnny time in the second quarter.

Manziel?s first CFL touchdown was a display of trickery. The Als pulled off a double reverse that fooled the Riders? defence. Manziel found Adarius Bowman in stride on the play for a 47-yard touchdown strike to give the Als a 14-13 lead.

Boris Bede notched an 18-yard field goal to pull the Als further ahead midway through the second quarter.

However, the Riders would regain the lead before the end of the half.

Collaros led a steady drive down the field, guiding his team deep into Alouettes territory and just short of the end zone. Nick Marshall dove across the goal line on a quarterback sneak to put the Riders back ahead.

Saskatchewan?s two-point convert was successful, giving the Riders a 21-17 lead.

A late field goal by Brett Lauther put the Riders ahead 24-17 at halftime.

Saskatchewan continued putting points on the board in the third quarter. Collaros connected with Jordan Williams-Lambert for a 23-yard gain on the opening drive of the half. It appeared that Williams-Lambert had just made it into the end zone, but automatic video review showed that he was just inches short.

Marshall finished the job with a one-yard quarterback sneak to give the Riders a 30-17 lead.

Despite giving themselves a significant hurdle to overcome, Montreal continued to fight.

Momentum began to shift in favour of the Als at the end of the third quarter when Stefan Logan scored a 74-yard kick return touchdown, making it a one point game.

The Als weren?t done there.

Henoc Muamba was able to pick off a pass that was tipped off the fingers of a Riders receiver, and run the ball back to Montreal?s 51-yard line to give the offence a short field to work with.

Manziel showed off his speed on the drive by dashing for 25 yards, putting his team in the red zone. On the next play, Manziel found Ernest Jackson in the end zone for a 20 yard touchdown pass to trail the Riders 31-29.

Manziel appeared to dive into the end zone for the two-point convert attempt, but was ultimately ruled short.

That was as close as the Als would get as the Riders held on for the win.

Lauther kicked another field goal with just over four minutes remaining in the game to extend their lead to 34-29.

The Riders were able to run down the clock after getting the ball back to hold on for the ?W.?

Saskatchewan will travel to Edmonton next week for a West Division clash with the Riders, while the Als will be in tough against the Calgary Stampeders.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEEK 17

Friday, October 5, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
7:30 PM Winnipeg Blue Bombers Ottawa Redblacks

Saturday, October 6, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
7:00 PM Toronto Argonauts British Columbia Lions

Monday, October 8, 2018
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Calgary Stampeders Montreal Alouettes
4:00 PM Edmonton Eskimos Saskatchewan Roughriders


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Sept. Picks................and Best Bets

09/30/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/29/2018 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
09/28/2018 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00
09/22/2018 4-2-0 66.66% +9.00
09/21/2018 1-1-0 50.00% -0.50
09/07/2018 0-2-0 0.00% -11.00
09/03/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
09/02/2018 1-0-1 100.00% +5.00


TOTALS............8-9-1........47.05%......-9.50


DATE.....................ATS.................UNITS ...................O/U..................UNITS..............TOTAL

09/30/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................0 - 1..................-5.50................-0.50
09/29/2018..........0 - 2.................-11.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00.............-1.00
09/28/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................1 - 0..................+5.00..............+10.00
09/22/2018..........3 - 0.................+15.00................1 - 2...................-6.00...............+9.00
09/21/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................1 - 0..................+5.00...............-0.50
09/07/2018..........0 - 1.................-5.50...................0 - 1...................-5.50...............-11.00
09/03/2018..........0 - 2.................-11.00.................1 - 1...................-0.50...............-11.50
09/02/2018..........1 - 0.................+5.00..................0 - 0..................+0.00..............+5.00


TOTALS................6 - 6..................-3.00................6 - 5...................+2.50................-0.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday?s six-pack

Major league teams with best attendance this season:

1) LA Dodgers 47,033 per game

2) Bronx 42,998

3) St Louis 42,019

4) San Francisco 38,965

5) Chicago Cubs 38,798

6) LA Angels 37,286

Quote of the Day
?We were terrible on offense. I don?t think it made a difference for the offense. That?s what it was. It was as bad as we?ve played on offense with that many yards in a long time.?
Aaron Rodgers

Tuesday?s quiz
Which current NFL player played for the Amsterdam Admirals, in 1996?

Monday?s quiz
Tom Brady tied an NFL record Sunday, throwing a TD pass to his 70th receiver; he shares this record with Vinny Testaverde.

Sunday?s quiz
Saints? coach Sean Payton was a QB for the Chicago Bears in the strike replacement games they had during the 1987 season.


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Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??

13) You don?t think pro football players are tough? Vikings? long snapper Kevin McDermott lost the tip off of his left pinky Thursday, when it got caught in a player?s helmet. He didn?t just lose his fingernail, he lost the tip of his finger, and later on, he came back into the game, missing only one punt snap while they bandaged up the finger.

12) Bad beat from late Saturday night: USC was -3.5 over Arizona, and led 24-14 in the last 2:00. Wildcats had 4th-and-goal inside the 10-yard line, but instead of kicking the easy FG to make the game a one-score game, Kevin Sumlin goes for it and Arizona scores a TD with 1:40 left.

Now all they all have to do to cover the spread is make the extra poi? you got it, they missed, and USC won 24-20, covering by half a point.

11) UMass football coach Mark Whipple was suspended without pay for one week by the school, after he drew an analogy to rape while discussing a sequence in his team?s game.

On UMass? radio broadcast after the Minutemen?s 58-42 loss at Ohio U, Whipple referred to a play on which he believed the Bobcats should have been called for pass interference, saying, ?We had a chance there ? and they rape us, and (the referee) picks up the flag.?

No bueno. Choose your words better, coach.

10) Billy McKinney is a 24-year old OF for the Blue Jays who was a first round pick of the Oakland A?s five years ago. Weird thing is, he?s already been traded three times:

? July 5, 2014, A?s traded him to the Cubs as part of the Jeff Samardzija/Addison Russell swap.
? July 25, 2016, Cubs traded him to New York as part of the Aroldis Chapman trade.
? July 26, 2018, New York traded him to Toronto as part of the JA Happ swap.

9) After a 56-27 loss to Notre Dame last week, Wake Forest fired defensive coordinator Jay Sawvel; their defense scored two TD?s Saturday in a 56-24 win over Rice. Obviously Rice isn?t close to being as good as Notre Dame, but did the coaching change make a difference?

8) With Sam Bradford the #3 QB in Arizona now, he loses an active roster bonus of $312,500 per game, not that he is hurting for money. Bradford banked $65M in the five years he played for the Rams, so he should be OK financially.

7) The grandfather of Rams? WR Cooper Kupp was an offensive lineman in the NFL for 11 years; he played for the Saints in their early days, where he blocked for Archie Manning.

6) NHL?s Carolina Hurricanes will wear Hartford Whaler throwback uniforms for their December 23 home game; very cool green uniforms with the great Whaler logo. Hurricanes were the Hartford Whalers from 1972-97, before moving from Hartford to Raleigh.

5) Tony Parker looks weird in a Charlotte Hornets? uniform; he played 17 years for the Spurs. Some things you just get used to.

4) There is a US Senator from Rhode Island named Sheldon Whitehouse; if you?re a politician and your last name is Whitehouse, don?t you have to run for President?

3) Brewers 3, Cubs 1???.Dodgers 5, Rockies 2

Colorado visits Wrigley Field tonight in the NL Wild Card game.

2) Last week, a psychology professor at the University of Toronto started showing a presentation to his class of 500 students, but instead of his presentation showing on the screen, a hard core porn movie appeared. Whoops.

1) Last three games the Pittsburgh Steelers played at home, they allowed 37.7 ppg. Atlanta is coming to Steel City this coming Sunday; Falcons? defense is a mess, too.