MADDUX SPORTS (NFL)
Minnesota +7.5 (20*)
Dallas +3.5 (10*)
Washington +7 (10*)
San Francisco +10 (10*)
Atlanta+3 (10*)
Minnesota +7.5 (20*)
Dallas +3.5 (10*)
Washington +7 (10*)
San Francisco +10 (10*)
Atlanta+3 (10*)
Football Services Plays
- Thread starter WildBillPicks7
- Start date
Joe Gavazzi:142smilie
STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
New York Jets (-2-) at Tennessee Titans 4:05 ET
Every week in the NFL, I select one team which will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. We know that teams who outrush their opponent by 30+ yards are a 74% ATS winning play. As well, teams who run 30+ times in a game while their opponent does not, is an 82% point spread winner, while it is an 84% ATS proposition to play against a team who runs for 22 or fewer times in a game, if our team does not. This type of thinking has resulted in a 10-4 ATS record on NFL STEAMROLLERS this season. Two weeks ago, Houston steamrolled this very Tennessee defense in a 45-21 victory. Last week, I again used Houston to Steamroll the Jags. They obeyed with a 173-74 overland yardage edge in a 27-13 win and cover.
This week, we go back to fading that Titan?s defense, which is among the worst in the league. For the season, Tennessee allows teams to run 33 times per game, highest in the league. They are also outrushed by a margin of 142-86 per game. Compare that to the Jets? running numbers, which finds an offense that averages 32 rushes per game, while outrushing their opponents 150/4.7 to 87/3.5. If HC Ryan has learned one thing this season, it is to keep the ball out of the hands of his Quarterbacks. Again last week, despite outrushing Minnesota 168-114, the Jets threw a pick 6 that ended the game in OT. I?m fully aware that it is not easy to back a New York team who is 0-6 SU away for the season, but the Titans are quickly becoming the worst team in the league. Dating to last year, this team is on a 3-16 ATS slide. This year, they are 2-11 SU on a 7 game losing streak. They are also just 1-5 SU ATS on their home field after absorbing a 36-7 smashing by the Giants here last week. In that game, they were outrushed by the New Yorkers 142-61 and outgained 402-207. To say that Tennessee has tossed the towel would be an understatement. They enter today at 0-3 SU ATS, being outscored 124-52 in those three games, while failing to the point spread by a combined 54 points.
In a game between 2-11 SU teams, each of whom is going nowhere, we back the dominant running game and running defense as the Jets cruise to their first road victory of the year by a surprisingly comfortable double-digit margin.
STEAMROLLER GAME OF THE WEEK
New York Jets (-2-) at Tennessee Titans 4:05 ET
Every week in the NFL, I select one team which will dominate their opponent at the point of attack. We know that teams who outrush their opponent by 30+ yards are a 74% ATS winning play. As well, teams who run 30+ times in a game while their opponent does not, is an 82% point spread winner, while it is an 84% ATS proposition to play against a team who runs for 22 or fewer times in a game, if our team does not. This type of thinking has resulted in a 10-4 ATS record on NFL STEAMROLLERS this season. Two weeks ago, Houston steamrolled this very Tennessee defense in a 45-21 victory. Last week, I again used Houston to Steamroll the Jags. They obeyed with a 173-74 overland yardage edge in a 27-13 win and cover.
This week, we go back to fading that Titan?s defense, which is among the worst in the league. For the season, Tennessee allows teams to run 33 times per game, highest in the league. They are also outrushed by a margin of 142-86 per game. Compare that to the Jets? running numbers, which finds an offense that averages 32 rushes per game, while outrushing their opponents 150/4.7 to 87/3.5. If HC Ryan has learned one thing this season, it is to keep the ball out of the hands of his Quarterbacks. Again last week, despite outrushing Minnesota 168-114, the Jets threw a pick 6 that ended the game in OT. I?m fully aware that it is not easy to back a New York team who is 0-6 SU away for the season, but the Titans are quickly becoming the worst team in the league. Dating to last year, this team is on a 3-16 ATS slide. This year, they are 2-11 SU on a 7 game losing streak. They are also just 1-5 SU ATS on their home field after absorbing a 36-7 smashing by the Giants here last week. In that game, they were outrushed by the New Yorkers 142-61 and outgained 402-207. To say that Tennessee has tossed the towel would be an understatement. They enter today at 0-3 SU ATS, being outscored 124-52 in those three games, while failing to the point spread by a combined 54 points.
In a game between 2-11 SU teams, each of whom is going nowhere, we back the dominant running game and running defense as the Jets cruise to their first road victory of the year by a surprisingly comfortable double-digit margin.
BIG MONEY (Top) SD
CAROLINA SPORTS (5,4,3) 5- GIANTS OVER, 4- BUFF, MINN, JETS, 3- OAK, T BAY, SD
DOC'S ENTERPRISES (5,4,3) 5- SF, 4- GIANTS, G BAY, DALL
DR. BOB (4,3,2,1) 3- OAK, 2- WASH, S FRAN DALL
GAMEDAY (5,4,3,2) 3- NE, DET, 2- CINCY
HARRY BONDI (5,4,3) 5- KC, 3- INDY, PHILLY
INSIDE INFO (3,2) 3- HOU, 2 S FRAN
JACK JONES (25,20,15) 25- NE, 20- BUFF, 15- S FRAN, CLEV, HOU
JOE D (25,20,15) 25- CLEV, 20- HOU, GIANTS, 15- SEA, SD, NE
LENNY STEVENS (20,10) 20- TN, ATL, 10- INDY, K CITY
NERI (5,4,3) 3- INDY, BUFF, DEN
NORTHCOAST (5,4,3) 5GOY DETROIT, 4- INDY, 3- G BAY UNDER, CAROLINA
PICK CITY (5,4,3,2) 4- NE, 3- DALL, PITT, 2- INDY, CAROLINA, SEA UNDER
PREFERRED PICKS (5,4,3) 4- BUFF, 3- ATL, S FRAN
PURE LOCK (Top) SEA
TEXAS SPORTSWIRE (5,4,3) 3- INDY, DALL
UNDERDOG (Top) TN
WILDCAT (10,7,5) 10- PITT, 7- BUFF, 5- DALL
ASA 7- ATL OVER, 4- INDY, 3- JETS, DALL
CAROLINA SPORTS (5,4,3) 5- GIANTS OVER, 4- BUFF, MINN, JETS, 3- OAK, T BAY, SD
DOC'S ENTERPRISES (5,4,3) 5- SF, 4- GIANTS, G BAY, DALL
DR. BOB (4,3,2,1) 3- OAK, 2- WASH, S FRAN DALL
GAMEDAY (5,4,3,2) 3- NE, DET, 2- CINCY
HARRY BONDI (5,4,3) 5- KC, 3- INDY, PHILLY
INSIDE INFO (3,2) 3- HOU, 2 S FRAN
JACK JONES (25,20,15) 25- NE, 20- BUFF, 15- S FRAN, CLEV, HOU
JOE D (25,20,15) 25- CLEV, 20- HOU, GIANTS, 15- SEA, SD, NE
LENNY STEVENS (20,10) 20- TN, ATL, 10- INDY, K CITY
NERI (5,4,3) 3- INDY, BUFF, DEN
NORTHCOAST (5,4,3) 5GOY DETROIT, 4- INDY, 3- G BAY UNDER, CAROLINA
PICK CITY (5,4,3,2) 4- NE, 3- DALL, PITT, 2- INDY, CAROLINA, SEA UNDER
PREFERRED PICKS (5,4,3) 4- BUFF, 3- ATL, S FRAN
PURE LOCK (Top) SEA
TEXAS SPORTSWIRE (5,4,3) 3- INDY, DALL
UNDERDOG (Top) TN
WILDCAT (10,7,5) 10- PITT, 7- BUFF, 5- DALL
ASA 7- ATL OVER, 4- INDY, 3- JETS, DALL
Pass interference killed it!! Held Jets in check for FG set up, difference of 5 pts, could have been 12-11 and Tenn set up for FG at the end. Whitehurst sucks!!
Only 2 regular season weeks left in NFL, Bowls left too!! :0074
BW big play on Over 36 1/2 , was at 37 1/2 before his play, AZ/Seattle!! FWIW!! Line opened 43 then adjusted with Lindley starting, Seattle needs win to take NFCW division with 2 games left including this one. AZ locked up a playoff birth last wk vs STL!
Jets +11 (line is +10)
Seattle -7 1/2 (now -9 and climbing)
Baltimore -3 1/2 (line is -4 or -4 1/2 depending on which house you look at)
Over 55 1/2 Indy/Dallas (now at 56, will move to 56 1/2 soon)
GLE!!
Jets +11 (line is +10)
Seattle -7 1/2 (now -9 and climbing)
Baltimore -3 1/2 (line is -4 or -4 1/2 depending on which house you look at)
Over 55 1/2 Indy/Dallas (now at 56, will move to 56 1/2 soon)
GLE!!
Northcoast
Thursday NFL Marquee/ REGULAR opinion -
OVER 38.5 Tennessee/Jacksonville NFL 8:25 pm
Brandon Lang
50 DIME OFF LINE
OVER/UNDER
#2 IN A ROW
Jacksonville / Tennessee UNDER 40
ATS LOCK CLUB
2* Jacksonville vs Tennessee ? Under 39.5
bookieshunter TNF NFL 18December2014
#102 Jaguars -3.5 vs. #101 Titans (2*)
Thursday NFL Marquee/ REGULAR opinion -
OVER 38.5 Tennessee/Jacksonville NFL 8:25 pm
Brandon Lang
50 DIME OFF LINE
OVER/UNDER
#2 IN A ROW
Jacksonville / Tennessee UNDER 40
ATS LOCK CLUB
2* Jacksonville vs Tennessee ? Under 39.5
bookieshunter TNF NFL 18December2014
#102 Jaguars -3.5 vs. #101 Titans (2*)
Bowls Systems
Bowls Systems
From the Playbook College Bowl Stat
Report: Big 12 bowlers are 1-9
SUATS versus SEC opponents.
MAC teams off a straight up loss of 7> pts are 1-13 ATS and 2-12 SU in bowl games (W Michigan, Central Michigan and Bowling Green all lost their last game by 7 or more)
More to come when available.
Bowls Systems
From the Playbook College Bowl Stat
Report: Big 12 bowlers are 1-9
SUATS versus SEC opponents.
MAC teams off a straight up loss of 7> pts are 1-13 ATS and 2-12 SU in bowl games (W Michigan, Central Michigan and Bowling Green all lost their last game by 7 or more)
More to come when available.
Robert Ferringo He's been over 56% this year in NFL! And profited in CFB!! Plays rated 1 (low) to 8 (highest)
NCAAF
1* - UL Laf pick
1* - 1st half ULL / Nev under 30
1* - Utah -3
1* - Air Force -1
1* - South Alabama -3
NFL
2* - Over 41 SD/SF
1* - Over 50.5 Phil/Wash
1* - Eagles -7
Maddux Sports These guys move the Vegas lines as well as RAS. Rich Sports does too. Track them.
NCAAFB
New Orleans Bowl
10* Nevada -1
NFL
10* Washington +7.5
NCAAF
1* - UL Laf pick
1* - 1st half ULL / Nev under 30
1* - Utah -3
1* - Air Force -1
1* - South Alabama -3
NFL
2* - Over 41 SD/SF
1* - Over 50.5 Phil/Wash
1* - Eagles -7
Maddux Sports These guys move the Vegas lines as well as RAS. Rich Sports does too. Track them.
NCAAFB
New Orleans Bowl
10* Nevada -1
NFL
10* Washington +7.5
Pointwise Phones - Football
4* San Diego
3* UTEP
2* Air Force
ATS LOCK CLUB
5* UTEP +10
4* SD-NFL +1.5
4* S Bama -2.5
4* San Diego
3* UTEP
2* Air Force
ATS LOCK CLUB
5* UTEP +10
4* SD-NFL +1.5
4* S Bama -2.5
Northcoast
4* Utah -2.5 Colorado St 3:30 pm (Las Vegas)
3* OVER 53.5 Camellia Bowl 9:15 pm (B Green/S Alabama)
NFL Top Opinion:
San Francisco -1 San Diego - 8:25 pm CBS - Sat NFL Marquee
Bowl Top Opinions:
South Alabama -2.5 Bowling Green - 9:15 pm Espn (Camellia)
Marquee TRIPLE - OVER 53.5 Camellia Bowl (Bowling Green/ S Alabama) - 9:15 pm Espn
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 58.5 Idaho Potato Bowl (West Michigan/ Air Force) 5:45 Espn
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 44.5 New Mexico Bowl (UTEP/ Utah St) 2:20 Espn
Regular Opinions:
UL-Lafayette +1.5 Nevada - 11 am Espn (New Orleans)
Air Force +2 Western Michigan - 5:45 pm Espn (Idaho Potato)
Had to pickem:
UTEP +10 Utah St - 2:20 pm Espn (New Mexico)
Marquee SINGLE - UNDER 57.5 Las Vegas Bowl (Utah/ Colorado St) 3:30 ABC
Marquee SINGLE - OVER 63.5 New Orleans Bowl (Nevada/ ULL) 11 am Espn
4* Utah -2.5 Colorado St 3:30 pm (Las Vegas)
3* OVER 53.5 Camellia Bowl 9:15 pm (B Green/S Alabama)
NFL Top Opinion:
San Francisco -1 San Diego - 8:25 pm CBS - Sat NFL Marquee
Bowl Top Opinions:
South Alabama -2.5 Bowling Green - 9:15 pm Espn (Camellia)
Marquee TRIPLE - OVER 53.5 Camellia Bowl (Bowling Green/ S Alabama) - 9:15 pm Espn
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 58.5 Idaho Potato Bowl (West Michigan/ Air Force) 5:45 Espn
Marquee DOUBLE - UNDER 44.5 New Mexico Bowl (UTEP/ Utah St) 2:20 Espn
Regular Opinions:
UL-Lafayette +1.5 Nevada - 11 am Espn (New Orleans)
Air Force +2 Western Michigan - 5:45 pm Espn (Idaho Potato)
Had to pickem:
UTEP +10 Utah St - 2:20 pm Espn (New Mexico)
Marquee SINGLE - UNDER 57.5 Las Vegas Bowl (Utah/ Colorado St) 3:30 ABC
Marquee SINGLE - OVER 63.5 New Orleans Bowl (Nevada/ ULL) 11 am Espn
HILTON TOP 3 CONTESTANTS
(57-17-1): Washington / Detroit / Carolina / St Louis / Dallas
(54-21): San Diego / Minnesota / Buffalo / Dallas / Arizona
(52-22?-1): Detroit / Carolina / St Louis / Buffalo / Dallas
Doc Sports
5 Unit Play. #117 Take Kansas City Chiefs +3 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 1 pm CBS)
TOP NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
This is an elimination game as both teams are vying for the playoffs in the AFC. Pittsburgh is in much better shape to make the playoffs, but this team has not handled prosperity well this season. Kansas City is solid on both sides of the football, and the same cannot be said for Pittsburgh. Their defense ranks in the bottom half of the league despite playing some of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Kansas City has been a great road team under Andy Reid, covering the spread in 11 of 15 road games the last two years. Big Ben will have his moments in this game, but Kansas City will pull it out by a field goal.
4 Unit Play. #116 Take New York Jets +10.5 over New England Patriots (Sunday 1 pm CBS)
The Jets and Coach Rex Ryan always seem to get up for playing the Patriots, and this will certainly be the last hurrah for Ryan, who will be fired later this month. The Jets nearly beat the Patriots at Foxboro earlier this season, losing by just 2 points. Geno Smith is not any good, but expect a very conservative gameplan to allow him to succeed and keep this deficit under single digits. Nothing bad can really be said about the way New England is playing at the moment, but I just do not see a blowout victory. New England is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played in December.
4 Unit Play. #130 Take Arizona Cardinals +8 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC)
The Cardinals continue to get no respect from anybody, and that will just serve as motivation in this game. They have the best record in the NFL yet enter this game as over a touchdown underdog despite the game being played in Glendale. Arizona still has a rock-solid defense, and Seattle is not an offensive juggernaut. Seattle scored just 19 points when these teams met in the first meeting, and I do not believe they will be able to put many more points up than that in this game. Expect Arizona to play much better on offense despite their quarterback situation, as one must remember that Larry Fitzgerald did not play in that first meeting. Nobody gave Arizona a chance last week against St. Louis, and they won that game straight-up, and it would not surprise me if the same thing happens in this night game. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 16.
Robert Ferringo
NFL
over 39 Tenn/Jack 1*
Phil. -7 1*
Green Bay -11 1*
Detroit -8 1*
NO -6 1*
New Eng -10 1*
Pitt -3 1*
Carolina -3 2*
Houston +5 1*
Seattle-7 1*
Over 41 SD/SF 2*
Over 50- Phil/Wash 1*
Under 47 KC/Pitt 1*
Indian Cowboy
NFL
Chicago +9 3*
Under 55- Indy/Dallas 3*
Seattle -7 7* line has fluctuated
MARC LAWRENCE
Play - Atlanta Falcons
Edges - Falcons: 9-1 ATS last road game of the season; and 18-7 ATS off a SU loss of 7 or more points under Mike Smith, including 8-2 ATS in division games. Saints: 0-5 ATS in last home games off a non-division game when facing a division opponent. With New Orleans having not won a home game in almost two months (0-4 SUATS last four), and the Falcons in control of their playoff destiny, we recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta. Thank you and good luck as always.
NORTHCOAST SPORTS
NFL
Totals POW Under 42.5 Minnesota Vikings/Miami Dolphins
AFC POW Pittsburgh Steelers-3
5 Unit Play. #117 Take Kansas City Chiefs +3 over Pittsburgh Steelers (Sunday 1 pm CBS)
TOP NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
This is an elimination game as both teams are vying for the playoffs in the AFC. Pittsburgh is in much better shape to make the playoffs, but this team has not handled prosperity well this season. Kansas City is solid on both sides of the football, and the same cannot be said for Pittsburgh. Their defense ranks in the bottom half of the league despite playing some of the worst quarterbacks in the league. Kansas City has been a great road team under Andy Reid, covering the spread in 11 of 15 road games the last two years. Big Ben will have his moments in this game, but Kansas City will pull it out by a field goal.
4 Unit Play. #116 Take New York Jets +10.5 over New England Patriots (Sunday 1 pm CBS)
The Jets and Coach Rex Ryan always seem to get up for playing the Patriots, and this will certainly be the last hurrah for Ryan, who will be fired later this month. The Jets nearly beat the Patriots at Foxboro earlier this season, losing by just 2 points. Geno Smith is not any good, but expect a very conservative gameplan to allow him to succeed and keep this deficit under single digits. Nothing bad can really be said about the way New England is playing at the moment, but I just do not see a blowout victory. New England is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams with a losing record. The Jets are 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 games played in December.
4 Unit Play. #130 Take Arizona Cardinals +8 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 8:30 pm NBC)
The Cardinals continue to get no respect from anybody, and that will just serve as motivation in this game. They have the best record in the NFL yet enter this game as over a touchdown underdog despite the game being played in Glendale. Arizona still has a rock-solid defense, and Seattle is not an offensive juggernaut. Seattle scored just 19 points when these teams met in the first meeting, and I do not believe they will be able to put many more points up than that in this game. Expect Arizona to play much better on offense despite their quarterback situation, as one must remember that Larry Fitzgerald did not play in that first meeting. Nobody gave Arizona a chance last week against St. Louis, and they won that game straight-up, and it would not surprise me if the same thing happens in this night game. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Seattle is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played during Week 16.
Robert Ferringo
NFL
over 39 Tenn/Jack 1*
Phil. -7 1*
Green Bay -11 1*
Detroit -8 1*
NO -6 1*
New Eng -10 1*
Pitt -3 1*
Carolina -3 2*
Houston +5 1*
Seattle-7 1*
Over 41 SD/SF 2*
Over 50- Phil/Wash 1*
Under 47 KC/Pitt 1*
Indian Cowboy
NFL
Chicago +9 3*
Under 55- Indy/Dallas 3*
Seattle -7 7* line has fluctuated
MARC LAWRENCE
Play - Atlanta Falcons
Edges - Falcons: 9-1 ATS last road game of the season; and 18-7 ATS off a SU loss of 7 or more points under Mike Smith, including 8-2 ATS in division games. Saints: 0-5 ATS in last home games off a non-division game when facing a division opponent. With New Orleans having not won a home game in almost two months (0-4 SUATS last four), and the Falcons in control of their playoff destiny, we recommend a 1-unit play on Atlanta. Thank you and good luck as always.
NORTHCOAST SPORTS
NFL
Totals POW Under 42.5 Minnesota Vikings/Miami Dolphins
AFC POW Pittsburgh Steelers-3
Steve Budin - CEO
Sunday's Play
The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on Pittsburgh at home versus Kansas City.
Sunday's Play
The Cali-Cartel has a 50 Dime play on Pittsburgh at home versus Kansas City.
Bill want to make sure I'm reading this right. Is BW on the over in the Seattle game?
Also tough loss last night can't believe how low scoring the fourth was. keeping em coming!
