Saturday 20th October
Australia vs Romania
Romania surprised myself and probably everybody else with their performance against Ireland. Strong up front, they caused the Irish plenty of problems, and they will have to continue that intensity to compete with the Aussies.
Perhaps the defining factor, in making a play on this game, is the fact that a lot of people are on the Wallabies backs. It has been a long time since we saw a faultless display from a Australian team, and the fact that coach Eddie Jones has picked his strongest fifteen, suggests that this is the game they have targeted for a faultless showing. It will be the first time for a while that Romania have faced this calibre of opposition, and it will be very difficult. Taking into account their best player from the game against the Irish misses out, Petru Balan, means that if the Aussies win the battle up front, then the tries will come in hatfuls from the backs.
1 Point Australia (-58) at 10/11 with SportingOdds
England vs South Africa
Probably the game of the World Cup so far. However, it is debatable as to whether these teams are as close as people think. The Springboks performances in the tri-nations this season, showed they are still below the top tier of teams in world rugby at the moment.
Much will be made of the losses of Richard Hill, and Matt Dawson, but the reailty is that England were my outright selection due to their immense strength in depth. These players are replaced by Kyran Bracken and Lewis Moody, and both will be able deputies.
The Boks on the other hand have still a lot to prove, and the English will be far more prepared for this game than the Boks, as England have had a settled team for a good while, whilst the Boks have been chopping and changing all year.
England by 20 points plus.
2 Points England (-14) at 4/5 with BetDirect
Passing over the France-Japan game. Lean towards France as the Japanese will have to match their performance and a little more to keep the score down against the French.