Soccer 2018 January-May
- Thread starter PittsburghKid
- Start date
Same for me DZ. Guess everyone was right on this one. Juve is really showing their age. Bad foul by old man Chellini and old man Buffon made a bad mistake. Oh well.
you know what ? bet365 has some kind of "early 2-0 = payout campaign":
"
Hi "Snafu"
Thanks to our Early Payout Offer, your pre-match Full Time Result bet(s) placed on Juventus in the Juventus v Tottenham game has been settled early.
Your account has already been credited with xxx from the following bet(s): = Juve to win +102 & +130
"
:mj07: :142smilie
:00hour
holy shit :0008
about juve, they were lucky not to lose this one. two penalties and free kick goal...
and allowing 2 goals tonight means that if they don't win or score at least two @wembley they are out.
"
Hi "Snafu"
Thanks to our Early Payout Offer, your pre-match Full Time Result bet(s) placed on Juventus in the Juventus v Tottenham game has been settled early.
Your account has already been credited with xxx from the following bet(s): = Juve to win +102 & +130
"
:mj07: :142smilie
:00hour
holy shit :0008
about juve, they were lucky not to lose this one. two penalties and free kick goal...
and allowing 2 goals tonight means that if they don't win or score at least two @wembley they are out.
I hope you took it and them bet on Tottenham in the second half!!
Juve is done. I'm glad I waited to see the line move before I loaded up.
Juve is done. I'm glad I waited to see the line move before I loaded up.
Reading back on some stuff now, I think a big part of the move was on Dybala being ruled out. Not sure that it was a given that he would sit until pretty late, but many expected him to as he's been out for a few weeks. Juve is way more dynamic on offense when he plays and if they get him and Cuadrado back for the 2nd leg, I think it will be a very even match back in London in three weeks.
I have a big bet on the Liverpool Ov 2.5 tomorrow. I also have Ov 1 in the FH. Man U is next week. I do not trust Liverpool enough on the road to play them.
DZ, I knew Dybala was definitely out for the game. He definitely makes a difference as they do not have much in the midfield that can create. If you told me they would be up 2-0 early in the FH, I would never bet that they would draw. Like I said, they are showing their age and need some new blood. Also shows you how weak Serie A is. The two away goals will be extremely hard to overcome in Wembley.
DZ, I knew Dybala was definitely out for the game. He definitely makes a difference as they do not have much in the midfield that can create. If you told me they would be up 2-0 early in the FH, I would never bet that they would draw. Like I said, they are showing their age and need some new blood. Also shows you how weak Serie A is. The two away goals will be extremely hard to overcome in Wembley.
thursday: Arsenal -? -180 ( -1 -103 ) vs ?stersunds aka
team between seasons, they have played one sweden cup game and a few CF's in 2018 (didn't win any).
was promoted to Allsvenskan 2016
was 5th last season in Allsvenskan, won swedish cup and was promoted to euro league
won miraculously Galatasaray @home
survived group stage and advanced to knock off stage
i have to admit i laughed a bit when i saw -180 vs ?sterunds, that's where Arsenal is now.
yes it's one of those fairy tale matches and what ever, Arse -1 103 and O2? -124
any serious team should have been around -300 or so...
team between seasons, they have played one sweden cup game and a few CF's in 2018 (didn't win any).
was promoted to Allsvenskan 2016
was 5th last season in Allsvenskan, won swedish cup and was promoted to euro league
won miraculously Galatasaray @home
survived group stage and advanced to knock off stage
i have to admit i laughed a bit when i saw -180 vs ?sterunds, that's where Arsenal is now.
yes it's one of those fairy tale matches and what ever, Arse -1 103 and O2? -124
any serious team should have been around -300 or so...
Man, my judgment of lines this week has been off. The line movement on the Liverpool total has me baffled also. I think people are worried that Porto has issues upfront and will sit back and play defense. I am not adding given the movement.
Despite my better judgement, I am making a play on Real today at +125. PSG is the better team, but have to expect Real's best effort today.
Despite my better judgement, I am making a play on Real today at +125. PSG is the better team, but have to expect Real's best effort today.
- Feb 5, 2016
- 1,382
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Taking a shot on PSG pk +115. I think they're the team, esp considering that Vegas likes them just behind City to win CL. Real's entire body of work this year is definitely beneath last year's standard, and there are cracks in the wall. But going back to the futures line, I think PSG manages at least a draw today, but maybe even a not so shocking win
Made a little greed bet at the half. Port Un 1.5. Trying to middle the bet. Also acts as a small hedge, but worth it since I hit the FH Ov.
Had a nice comeback today!
Euro is probably more stacked than ever before. You have Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, Napoli, Leipzig, Arsenal and a couple more. Some very interesting games tomorrow.
Remember, it is tough to trust some of these teams that have not played for a month, which is why I will not play on any of them, but will look at playing against a couple on the road.
Already in Napoli/Leipzig Ov 2.5 -125 and Dortmund/Atalanta Ov 2.5 -140. Rare you ever get a Dortmund game with a total under 3, especially at home, so I jumped all over it. Also think the Napoli Ov is underpriced. I may be wrong again on the line moves but if I like the price I take it. Will be very surprised if the Dortmund game does not go to 3, especially after 4 overs in the CL.
Looking at Lyon and Nice at short prices at home.
Euro is probably more stacked than ever before. You have Dortmund, Atletico Madrid, Napoli, Leipzig, Arsenal and a couple more. Some very interesting games tomorrow.
Remember, it is tough to trust some of these teams that have not played for a month, which is why I will not play on any of them, but will look at playing against a couple on the road.
Already in Napoli/Leipzig Ov 2.5 -125 and Dortmund/Atalanta Ov 2.5 -140. Rare you ever get a Dortmund game with a total under 3, especially at home, so I jumped all over it. Also think the Napoli Ov is underpriced. I may be wrong again on the line moves but if I like the price I take it. Will be very surprised if the Dortmund game does not go to 3, especially after 4 overs in the CL.
Looking at Lyon and Nice at short prices at home.
- Feb 5, 2016
- 1,382
- 17
- 38
Nice Bason. I didn't get to see much of the RM PSG game, do you think PSG will be able to right the ship at home? I find CL and Europa much harder to feel than league games. So much action moving these lines, etc...
I thought there was too much love for RM today, but they're obviously not done. I did manage to catch a piece of LP while watching the line 15 min before first kick. I figured it was Joe Q Pub moving the line, but I joined anyway saving my day.
Tomorrow, I'm leaning toward Marseille -1. I may have liked Zenit, but like you've mentioned, they haven't played a meaningful game in weeks. May or may not post tomorrow, have to comb through the games much more before I put something up.
I thought there was too much love for RM today, but they're obviously not done. I did manage to catch a piece of LP while watching the line 15 min before first kick. I figured it was Joe Q Pub moving the line, but I joined anyway saving my day.
Tomorrow, I'm leaning toward Marseille -1. I may have liked Zenit, but like you've mentioned, they haven't played a meaningful game in weeks. May or may not post tomorrow, have to comb through the games much more before I put something up.
The away goal is still huge for PSG. Real can not play much better than they did today and you have to give them credit for coming up big when they had to. However, if Zidane continues to not put his best team on the field 80 minutes into the game PSG has a good chance. Zidane's love for Benzema and not starting Asensio is a huge mistake. All you read about is Renaldo but Asensio changed the game and created the two winning goals. I am not a Zidane fan as I simply think he was not experienced enough and gets too close to the players.
Really looking forward to the game in Paris. My guess is the coach that does not advance may lose his job, especially for Emery. If PSG spends all that money and does not make it to the quarter finals someone has to pay.
Porto was pathetic today. They should just stay home and not bother making the trip for the second leg.
I like Zenit, but I am not betting on any of the Russian, Ukranian, etc. teams. They are at a huge disadvantage at this stage except for the fact that it could be balls cold for the home games and no one likes playing there.
Really looking forward to the game in Paris. My guess is the coach that does not advance may lose his job, especially for Emery. If PSG spends all that money and does not make it to the quarter finals someone has to pay.
Porto was pathetic today. They should just stay home and not bother making the trip for the second leg.
I like Zenit, but I am not betting on any of the Russian, Ukranian, etc. teams. They are at a huge disadvantage at this stage except for the fact that it could be balls cold for the home games and no one likes playing there.
another one where i see things differently than bookies = other bettors:
Wenger has at least decent squad, ?zil and Welbeck ( imo both players who like to show off against weaker opponents) will start. A few notes, temps are just below 0C, 25F, and pitch is artificial. It's been really cold ( -23C ) out there last few weeks so don't know if ?stersunds has been able to practice outside
Predicted teams
Arsenal(4-2-3-1): Ospina; Bellerin, Chambers, Mustafi, Monreal; Elneny, Xhaka; Mkhitaryan, Ozil, Iwobi; Welbeck
^ very decent squad there
Ostersunds (4-3-3): Keita, Mukiibi, Papagiannopoulos, Pettersson, Widgren; Edwards, Bergqvist, Nouri; Ghoddos, Gero, Sema
previously made bets:
Arse -1 103 and O2? -124
adding
Arse -1? +135 and -2? +340
Arse 1st half -? +105 and -1? +425
i hope Arse boys show up :box2:
gl
Wenger has at least decent squad, ?zil and Welbeck ( imo both players who like to show off against weaker opponents) will start. A few notes, temps are just below 0C, 25F, and pitch is artificial. It's been really cold ( -23C ) out there last few weeks so don't know if ?stersunds has been able to practice outside
Predicted teams
Arsenal(4-2-3-1): Ospina; Bellerin, Chambers, Mustafi, Monreal; Elneny, Xhaka; Mkhitaryan, Ozil, Iwobi; Welbeck
^ very decent squad there
Ostersunds (4-3-3): Keita, Mukiibi, Papagiannopoulos, Pettersson, Widgren; Edwards, Bergqvist, Nouri; Ghoddos, Gero, Sema
previously made bets:
Arse -1 103 and O2? -124
adding
Arse -1? +135 and -2? +340
Arse 1st half -? +105 and -1? +425
i hope Arse boys show up :box2:
gl
GL Snafu, they should dominate this team, but I am hesitant since they really do not have a healthy striker playing in this game. Arsenal is hard to figure out but I think the only way they make the CL is to win Euro.
opcorn2 