Soccer 2018 January-May

[Vig]

If I were to play the game it would be Stuttgart on the Pk line. Both teams are in bad form right now, but historically, Stuttgart always plays Gladbach tough and has a winning record over them. Having said that, they have been poor against them in recent play which is why I will likely lay off this game. My best guess is 1-0 for the home team who can not afford to lose points at home right now.

Clairvoyant call, hope you played the exact score prop!

 

[BASON]

Of course I didn't!

Playing Nurnberg tomorrow in a Pk -110. They are a good road team and St. Pauli is not in the best form right now. Huge game for Nurnberg as a win puts them in first place. I do not see them losing this game.

Still trying to find a reason not to unload on Juve Tuesday. Everything points to them winning this game except the line which should be at least -140 in my opinion and now has dropped to Even. I just do not understand this. Only thing I can come up with is that it is a reaction to how Spurs played Real in the last round.

 

[Snafu]

^ english gamblers are pouring money to sp*rs, there is no other explanation...

played Juve -? +102 with unnecessary large bet... what i like ( a lot ) is that bookies don't give Juve -1? at all at the moment, only -1 (pinnacle&bet365).

i mean just look at Juve last ten at home:

04.02.18 SA Juventus Sassuolo 7 : 0
22.01.18 SA Juventus Genoa 1 : 0
03.01.18 COP Juventus Torino 2 : 0
23.12.17 SA Juventus AS Roma 1 : 0
20.12.17 COP Juventus Genoa 2 : 0
09.12.17 SA Juventus Inter 0 : 0
26.11.17 SA Juventus Crotone 3 : 0
22.11.17 CL Juventus Barcelona 0 : 0
05.11.17 SA Juventus Benevento 2 : 1
25.10.17 SA Juventus Spal 4 : 1

they have been scored against twice...

sp*rs away ? any decent team has scored against them, total 14 goals in last ten

04.02.18 PL Liverpool Tottenham 2 : 2
27.01.18 FAC Newport Tottenham 1 : 1
21.01.18 PL Southampton Tottenham 1 : 1
02.01.18 PL Swansea Tottenham 0 : 2
23.12.17 PL Burnley Tottenham 0 : 3
16.12.17 PL Manchester City Tottenham 4 : 1
02.12.17 PL Watford Tottenham 1 : 1
28.11.17 PL Leicester Tottenham 2 : 1
21.11.17 CL Dortmund Tottenham 1 : 2
18.11.17 PL Arsenal Tottenham 2 : 0


Juve to qualify -143 ? yes please...


:toast:

 

[BASON]

Have to agree Snafu as everything from a capping perspective points to a Juve victory. I have locked in a sizable bet at Even and will watch the line move overnight. If money moves to Juve as I expect it to, I will add even more.

Also, how can Juve be even at home and -143 to qualify? That furthers my resolve that this Even line at home is off. I will be very surprised if it does not move to at least -115 or more overnight.

I am also locking in money today on the Liverpool/Porto Ov 2.5 -125. Will be very surprised if this does not move to 3. Porto will score so I do not see a 1-1 draw. This is another strong play. Will lock some in today and then wait to see how Juve turns out tomorrow.

PSG will be very tempting to bet but I have some hesitation about that game. This is Real's season and probably Zidane's job. This is the only competition they have left to win and they get a brutal draw. They have to get a result at home, so I think it is tough to bet against them. My initial thought is that this will be a tighter game than people think, so Un 3.5 is attractive, but you know I do not bet a lot of unders.

 

[Vig]

145 EST Romania

Concordia vs Dinamo Bucuresti o/2.5 +120

 

[Snafu]

now
Juve -? +107
to qualify -136

to me this odds setup/build up reminds of last world cups Germany - Brazil eeevverrybody was on Brazil because you know they are Brazil and all... Then Germany demolished them in 30mins :142smilie

That was probably my largest soccer bet ever and i cashed out really nicely.


i will play Juve -1? when it comes out

played 1st half
O1 +127
Juve -? +175
Juve -1 +580

about Juve playing @home first game, i think bookies/bettors count that Juve aims to keep sp*rs at nil and score if they get chance and then in the second leg try to get through with away goals. but imo, Juve doesn't need that they are so much better as a team and more experienced with CL games. sp*rs quality just isn't there to match Juve in two game play offs.


but keep it cool guys, we know what happens when everybody goes wild on one side... :0008

 

[BASON]

I also play the Liverpool game OV 1 -130 in the FH.

 

[Vig]

145 EST Romania

Concordia vs Dinamo Bucuresti o/2.5 +120

Exactly how I envisioned it. 0-0 at HT, then 7 goals in the 2H.......WINNER

 

[Vig]

12 EST: Europa League


Red Star Belgrade pk -110 vs CSKA Moscow

This line seems low to me considering the Muscovites were competing in CL not long ago. Also, CSKA was underwhelming in recent club friendlies, not putting a lot of stock in that mind you, but still.....

 

[BASON]

Now I see Juve at +125. This movement is crazy to me but also scares me. I am definitely missing something here. Not changing my mind about the game, but I will not be adding much to it today.

 

[Snafu]

^my thoughts exactly , line just keeps going up and i'm like :wtf:

to add all that Juve reasoning: sp*rs played hard game vs Arse last saturday = two days off + trip to Torino. Juve played last friday easyish game vs Fiorentina. This is sp*rs fourth game in 9 days ( 4th 'pool, 7th FAC, 10th Arse and Juve 13th of feb), Juve played 4th and 9th ( 7-0 and 0-2 ).

my plays:
-? +102 and +130

1st half :
O1 +127
Juve -? +175
Juve -1 +580

Juve to qualify -112

c'mon old lady, don't let me down

 

[BASON]

The draw is just getting hammered in this game. Compare it to the Liverpool game tomorrow. Same +130 ML but crazy difference on the rest which tells me the draw is getting tons of action.

 

[Snafu]

added Juve -1? +365....

sp*rs defence can't keep clean sheet... one early goal and it could be 4-5 goal game

well, we will see how it folds out

gl

 

[IX_Bender]

Also, how can Juve be even at home and -143 to qualify? That furthers my resolve that this Even line at home is off. I will be very surprised if it does not move to at least -115 or more overnight.

The draw is just getting hammered in this game. Compare it to the Liverpool game tomorrow. Same +130 ML but crazy difference on the rest which tells me the draw is getting tons of action.

Instead of going up its gone to +125.

I don't see a high scoring game with so much on the line, but Ive been wrong before.

Cant see a sp*rs win, so that leaves me with only one choice. Pulling out my guns!


DRAW! @200

expecting a 0-0 or 1-1 game.

GL gents.

 

[Snafu]

yes.....

 

[DZ]

I love champions league! So happy it's back. A little late posting, but just to add to the thread what I played so we can all root each other on...

Juve +130 & pk-169 3x ea
Tott/Juve un2?-156 2.5x
ManCity/Basel ov2?-125 2x <-- Will be looking to play more on over with in-running if it starts slow



GL everyone!! :toast:

 

[Snafu]

beautiful...

 

[DZ]

Could be playing with fire here, but now all they have to do is sit back and control this game. We all know Tottenham isn't scoring...

Tott/Juve un4 -130 LIVE 3x

 

[BASON]

Couldn't have asked for a better start. At least I feel better right now.

For the record, I will no longer listed to Stuart Holden announce games. I can not stand him anymore after the US Soccer Presidential election. He is a spineless ass so I will listen in Espanyol!!

 

[Snafu]

FKKKKK... :facepalm::facepalm::facepalm:

1st half
Juve -1 +580

:facepalm:

Juve blows chances to kill this match... twice

playing small safe bets: sp*rs +? and sp*rs -? +750


good start but they haven't won anything yet
and after those lost chances i have a bit bad feeling about this...